Tropical moisture! Here’s how much rain is expected this week in Central Florida

A big shift in our weather pattern will take place in Central Florida as we will see more rain this week than we have in the last three months!

This Week Weather Setup


Another unusually hot summer day is on tap in the Orlando area for the first day of the workweek, with highs climbing into the mid-90s through the afternoon.

Leesburg will get close to reaching a record of 96 degrees, set in 2006.

Factoring in the humidity and a light southwest breeze, “feels-like” temperatures will reach 100-105 degrees for a few hours Monday afternoon.

After 2 p.m., a 60% chance for scattered sea breeze storms are expected to develop as they track from west to east through sundown. Gusty winds (50-60 mph) and frequent lightning will be possible in some of the stronger storms.


A stalled out front to our north will keep Central Florida under a southwesterly wind flow through the week, picking up an area of tropical moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and spilling it into the area.

Tropical Moisture Surges In

Expect multiple rounds of showers and storms through the week, with rain chances remaining elevated at 80-90%.

The concern lies on locations that could see repeated rounds of heavy rain and how much rain will accumulate.

Overall, forecast models agree that beneficial rain will rack up to 5-8 inches from I-4 southward, and 2-4 inches for northern counties.

Due all this rain, the Weather Prediction Center has issued a “Marginal Risk” for excessive rainfall across the area, with a “Slight Risk” by Friday.

Rain Forecast Next 7 Days

The added clouds and rain-cooled air will keep high temperatures in the mid-80s from Tuesday through Friday.


Although Central Florida will see plenty of tropical moisture this week, no significant tropical development is expected with this associated area or anywhere across the tropics over the next two days.

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